Effectiveness of rest-in-place policies as responses to infectious diseases

Geoffrey Heal, Donald C. Waite III Professor of Social Enterprise in the Faculty of Business and Professor of International and Public Affairs, Columbia Business School and School of International and Public Affairs

How do the policies implemented by individual states in the US interact with each other and either reinforce or interfere with each other? Specifically what are the interactions of rest-in-place policies implemented by different states. Does the implementation of such policies in NY makes them more or less effective in NJ, and vice versa. We suggest that state-level stay-in-place policies reinforce each other and make each other more effective. So the incentive for any state to implement such a policy is greater, the more of its neighbors have implemented or plan to implement such policies. We model the choice of stay-in-place policies by states as a game between the states, study the equilibria of such a game, and examine the possibility of tipping the equilibria of such a game to ones where all states implement stay-in-place policies.